GenLab Orbital Infrastructure

GenLab Research · Market Intelligence

Global Satellite Launch Projections & Strategic Intelligence, 2026–2035.

Launch cadence, deployment volumes, agency plans, and the structural forces driving the orbital buildout — with bear, base, and bull scenarios through 2035. Compiled from BryceTech, FAA, ITU, agency budgets, and public launch manifests.

329

Orbital launches in 2025 — the record baseline year

95%

Reduction in cost to LEO from the Shuttle era to Falcon 9

3

Scenarios modeled — bear, base, and bull — through 2035

285K

Tracked objects on orbit by 2035 in the bull case

The Report

What's inside.

  • 2025 baseline: every launch and deployment metric that broke records
  • Five structural forces driving the 2026–2035 decade
  • Bear / base / bull scenarios with the triggers behind each
  • Agency-by-agency plans: NASA, ESA, JAXA, ISRO, CNSA, Roscosmos, and emerging programs
  • Defense space budgets across the U.S. and allied nations
  • Why autonomy becomes mandatory as fleets scale

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The thesis this research informs.

Why navigation, sensing, autonomy, and logistics are the rails of the orbital economy.

Read the thesis View portfolio